If you have to wager on a lady, now would be the time to do it.
22 January, 2011
In order to be nominated, a film or actor doesn’t need to be considered “good” by everybody, but instead “the best” by a few: academy members are essentially voting for one movie; each member’s ballot is counted towards one film, their number one vote. If that film receives the fewest amount of number one votes, then it’s the second pick that counts, and so on down the ballot so that the ballot is attributed to exactly one movie or performance.
This year, Blue Valentine and Michelle Williams could benefit from this rule. The film itself hasn’t had a huge box-office take, but those who have seen it are rapturous in their praise, particularly for the gutting performances by Gosling and Williams.
For the fifth spot? Ms. Bening’s co-star Julianne Moore? Michelle Williams for “Blue Valentine”? Lesley Manville for Mike Leigh’s “Another Year”? Fourteen-year-old Hailee Steinfeld, a long shot for “True Grit”?
I’d say Williams is in by virtue of her campaign presence and Weinstein’s wiles;
Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine (it just got bluer) Falling off the list somehow
Williams being in a tough-to-watch indie …each of them seems equally vulnerable–
I’m thinking that Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) have Oscar nominations in their future.